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Latest election results: Here’s how the land lies on Tuesday afternoon…

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Nov 2, 2021

We are about one-third of the way through vote-counting for the 2021 Local Elections, and boy, are the latest results shaping up nicely now! There are plenty of twists and turns left in this one, as metros and municipalities are set to trade hands between parties. Some races, meanwhile, simply remain too close to call.

We’ve quickly put together a Tuesday afternoon brief for the biggest headlines of the day so far, and as the election results roll in, the political landscape in some parts of South Africa threatens to shift seismically.

Latest election results for South Africa – updates on Tuesday 2 November

ANC still polling under 50%

Yes, the ANC leads the way in eight of our nine provinces. But it only has 55% of the vote or more in two of these regions. The party looks likely to bleed voters this week, and their national vote share currently stands at 46.8%. Should this trend continue, it would mark the worst-ever elections performance for the ruling party in democratic history.

The DA’s vote share is also sliding, and it now sits under 24%. The EFF has received about 9.5% of all ballots cast so far – but the Red Berets have a chance of becoming the second-biggest party in North West and Limpopo respectively.

FF Plus continue good election run

There’s something about the FF Plus that might not be stylish, but it certainly has substance. In 2019, they enjoyed a huge increase in support from the electorate – and something similar is happening in the 2021 Local Elections.

The party has won its first-ever ward in the Western Cape, nipping in to claim leadership in Oudtshoorn. They’ve also reported strong performances in Tshwane, Merafong, and Mpumalanga – where they are third behind the ANC and DA.

ANC may lose Emfuleni

The Johannesburg municipality would seem like an ANC stronghold to many, but there’s a fair bit of drama developing here on Tuesday. With 36% of the vote calculated, the DA has opened up a narrow advantage. Whether this will last remains to be seen, but the ANC is in serious danger of losing control of what was seen as a ‘safe seat’.

The DA’s first KZN Municipality! uMngeni WILL turn blue

With 73% of the vote already counted here, and the DA polling at 61.42%, this race is as good as finished. It’s a famous victory for the Blues, who have managed to secure a municipality deep inside an ANC heartland – and uMngeni will switch hands from the ruling party to the DA once a final declaration is made.

Metros in the balance

Tshwane: The DA lead comfortably here with almost 40% of the vote, but will need coalition support.Johannesburg: ANC on 33%, DA on 27%. Both will need support to form a government. ActionSA on 17%.Ekurhuleni: ANC likely to stay in power, but WILL lose their majority. DA 10% behind their arch-rivals.Nelson Mandela Bay: ANC on 46%, DA on 33% – but the Blues are expected to make up the ground.

Smaller parties pack a punch

The Patriotic Alliance, led by Gayton McKenzie, has pulled up trees in the Western Cape, claiming 3.6% of the vote across the province. They are likely to find themselves in a coalition government in Beaufort West and Matzikama, as the political upstarts relish their role as ‘kingmaker’ in crucial districts.

ActionSA, in its debut election, is set to take 10% of the vote in KwaDukuza, around 6% in Gauteng, and a juicy 17.5% in Johannesburg – the latter of which is sure to give the party the ultimate say on who governs the metro.

All information correct as of 14:15 SAST, Tuesday 2 November

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